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Predicting Individual Development

Alan Clarke and Ann Clarke
Abstract: 

Early this century one particular piece of 'wisdom' about human nature gained endorsement from very different sources. These suggested that early characteristics, whether genetically or environmentally influenced, were set into a fixed mould, thereafter changing with the greatest difficulty or not at all. In advance of reliable empirical evidence these views arose from three unrelated and at that time over-simple theories: genetic, psychoanalytic and behaviourist. They each implied that individual development was highly predictable from the earliest years, a belief which in some quarters persists unmodified today.
This constancy theory represents a fundamental misunderstanding of the nature of human development. At the outset, however, the case must not be overstated; some individuals do remain constant developmentally, on particular characteristics, over the whole life span. In music, Mozart is the supreme example.

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